1 Comment

“Danger here is that Turks borrow cheaply in lira and then deposit in these FX indexed accounts.“ They also passed a bill previously which said that they are planning to observe borrowers and what they do with that money. There are also a lot of people who got screwed over by the government’s policies whether it’s real estate, healthcare, education etc. all because of promises that were too good to be true. I believe this new legislation falls into that category as well. Moreover, for these new FX indexed accounts to work properly FX/TRY needs to increase more than the interest rate which will be ~12% probably. This is too complicated and super counterintuitive to the average person, hence I probably will transfer my USDs and EURs to Forex, as far away from Turkey as I can. In conclusion this will fix the FX rate but to a point much higher than it could have been if only these mental gymnastics were avoided.

Expand full comment