The market rallied hard over the past 24h as I think people are getting optimistic about the meeting of the foreign ministers of Ukraine and Russia in Turkey later today. Optimism of some kind of deal brewing has risen as an adviser to Zelensky was on Bloomberg yesterday laying out a possible Ukrainian compromise. Zelensky himself then gave an interview which suggested some compromise on this issue of neutrality.
Great article again. Thanks for this. I personally believe we are a long way off any cease fire or truce. We only have to look at the disgusting way in which Russia has agreed to evacuation corridors and then shelled them. Russia has proved time after time they cannot be trusted. Their ideology is based on power and tyranny and they will use it at almost any cost. We only need look back at the past several hundred years. Putin is no different, he simply took a slightly different path to where he ultimately wants to end up because he had no other choice; the Soviet collapse forced him to.
An autocratic state never stays an autocratic state unless it lacks the power to shift. Russia is still a superpower simply because it has nuclear. An autocratic state will either move towards democracy (the people force this) or will move towards tyranny if the leader has the power to do so. Putin has always wanted to continue his pursuit towards the degradation of peoples freedoms and to consolidate his own powers. He will not change unless we bankrupt him or we stop him militarily.
Great article again. Thanks for this. I personally believe we are a long way off any cease fire or truce. We only have to look at the disgusting way in which Russia has agreed to evacuation corridors and then shelled them. Russia has proved time after time they cannot be trusted. Their ideology is based on power and tyranny and they will use it at almost any cost. We only need look back at the past several hundred years. Putin is no different, he simply took a slightly different path to where he ultimately wants to end up because he had no other choice; the Soviet collapse forced him to.
An autocratic state never stays an autocratic state unless it lacks the power to shift. Russia is still a superpower simply because it has nuclear. An autocratic state will either move towards democracy (the people force this) or will move towards tyranny if the leader has the power to do so. Putin has always wanted to continue his pursuit towards the degradation of peoples freedoms and to consolidate his own powers. He will not change unless we bankrupt him or we stop him militarily.
Great piece. Thanks Tim.