Well balanced article weighing up the pros and cons of the election race. Just perhaps a bit more weight on the steep rise in KK’s oratory and video performances..
Last paragraph is crucial. I agree that some (non-binding) guarantees have been made to him if he loses. The worry is that he is surrounded by “Yes, PM” types who will gaslight him into contesting unless the results are clear (+55% KK victory). I fear walking away or “ceketini alip gitmek” is overoptimism, given comparables with Trump, Bolsonaro, Netanyahu (yes, sample size is small!).
Adding the probabilities of a hung parliament and predicting how viscous of an opposition AKP et al will be (think Soylu, Bahceli), there could be a scenario that sees the opposition edge a contested victory, AKP et al makes it impossible to govern with civil/judicial/other disobedience, resulting in a second run of elections in September alas 2015!
Well balanced article weighing up the pros and cons of the election race. Just perhaps a bit more weight on the steep rise in KK’s oratory and video performances..
What is “EM”?
Last paragraph is crucial. I agree that some (non-binding) guarantees have been made to him if he loses. The worry is that he is surrounded by “Yes, PM” types who will gaslight him into contesting unless the results are clear (+55% KK victory). I fear walking away or “ceketini alip gitmek” is overoptimism, given comparables with Trump, Bolsonaro, Netanyahu (yes, sample size is small!).
Adding the probabilities of a hung parliament and predicting how viscous of an opposition AKP et al will be (think Soylu, Bahceli), there could be a scenario that sees the opposition edge a contested victory, AKP et al makes it impossible to govern with civil/judicial/other disobedience, resulting in a second run of elections in September alas 2015!